The COVID-19 outbreak will transform the world and shake every industry, including IT and business services. While many providers operate on multi-year contracts and can be confident of some continuing revenue, this commitment will likely leave many enterprises reluctant to sign new agreements. Service providers must ensure they have a deep understanding of their market, and they must adapt if they hope to survive. Accenture posts its results early, and because of its impressive size and status in the market, its results are often a good indicator state of the market, which means its recently announced Q2 2020 earnings could help its peers understand the market after the initial shock of COVID-19.
Accenture reported $10,991.3 million revenue in Q2 2020 —its first decline (albeit a small one!) since Q2 2012
In recent years, Accenture’s growth has been 5% to 10% YoY, as Exhibit 1 shows. This is impressive because it consistently posts revenues exceeding $1 billion per quarter. However, in Q2 2020, the firm posted a -1.0% YoY decline. While management advises earnings were affected by a foreign exchange headwind, COVID-19 has significantly impacted Accenture’s revenue. However, one positive is the firm’s operating margin, which rose to 15.6% in the quarter thanks to an operating income of $1,712.7 million.
Exhibit 1: Accenture’s YoY revenue growth and operating margin, and the decline in Q2 2020 is clear to see.
Source: HFS Research, 2020
It’s worth noting that Accenture’s project-based services business was hit worse than its managed services business in the short-term; consulting revenue dropped -3.8% YoY, and outsourcing grew 2.7% YoY. This is unsurprising given the long-term nature of outsourcing contracts, but because Accenture is split approximately 60:40 between consulting and outsourcing, the firm is particularly vulnerable to any fluctuations in consulting spending. We expect professional services to take the biggest hit in 2020, with any impact on outsourcing caused by a slowing of contract signings showing more clearly toward the end of 2020 and in 2021. Also notable is that while most public companies mirror the calendar quarters, Accenture reports March–May, meaning revenue will be less affected by COVID-19 than its competitors. For many enterprises, the crisis phase was in March, and they had yet to address their IT spending.
Accenture’s health and public services group was the only industry group to post YoY growth in the quarter, although sequentially, there was growth elsewhere
Exhibit 2 shows the YoY growth of Accenture’s five industry groups, and a glance at the broad drop in Q2 2020 confirms that COVID-19 impacted every industry, although health and public services continued to post double-digit growth. Interestingly, if you look at sequential growth, while the rest posted a decline, health and public services and financial services both posted growth of 3.5% QoQ and 2.5% QoQ, respectively, indicating a relatively smaller impact of COVID-19. There are countless possible explanations for this. For example, health and public services clients are arming themselves with the latest technology to help them in the battle against COVID-19, while financial services clients are turning to their service providers for support to deliver the latest stimulus packages while preparing them for the economic downturn.
Exhibit 2: Accenture’s YoY growth by industry group.
Source: HFS Research, 2020
For the service providers digging into the industry and looking for pockets of growth, this data proves that while the inevitable drop in revenues did occur, some industries were hit harder than others, and there are some industries where providers should double-down on their investment if they hope to thrive throughout this pandemic. However, they must not neglect lagging industries.
All geographies felt COVID-19’s impact, particularly Europe, which reported a -5.1% YoY decline
We all know that COVID-19 has spanned the globe, and responses varied by. For example, while New Zealand introduced lockdown early and is now returning to normality, countries such as the UK continue to battle the virus and are still enforcing lockdowns. The worldwide differences result in different levels of business continuity, and they impact service providers’ revenue regionally. Exhibit 3 outlines Accenture’s YoY revenue growth by geography, and the broad drop in Q2 2020 is clear.
Exhibit 3: Accenture’s YoY revenue growth by region
Source: HFS Research, 2020
However, while revenue growth from Europe was already low, in this quarter it dipped to a -5.2% YoY decline. The existing struggle in Europe could be attributed to the uncertainty surrounding Brexit, but COVID-19 has added to the troubles. The difference in Accenture’s reporting quarters could be a significant factor here, as Spain and Italy were two of the earliest countries to suffer from the pandemic, and they were forced into strict lockdowns in March, which ground business to a halt. While every other provider will have reported the impact of March in their Q1 2020 earnings, Accenture reported it in Q2 2020, which means in the months to follow, we could see a sharper decline for the firm in North America. For Accenture’s peers, however, this proves that while there is an overall trend of decline, there are still opportunities if they target regions that remain relatively free of the coronavirus.
The Bottom Line: Service providers must constantly monitor the market and identify growth areas to focus their investments, and the market can use Accenture’s earnings as a roadmap.
As we’re teetering on the edge of the worst recession of our lifetime, every provider will be impacted significantly, and Accenture’s Q2 2020 earnings prove it. However, while the results show plenty of negatives, there were glimmers of hope as industries such as healthcare and financial services continue to provide pockets of growth, while regional opportunities emerge as countries battle the coronavirus in their own way. It’s crucial to their survival that service providers examine these results, their own, and their peers’ to identify investment targets which will help them survive these uncertain times.